Isophoric News · Tuesday, November 10, 2026
A breezy, mild Tuesday near 58, then rain returns Wednesday night
Partly sunny today, with a high near 58 and a southwest wind of 8 to 23 mph. Veterans Day is mostly cloudy and near 51, and rain moves in Wednesday night, at 80% through Thursday.
Good morning, Oswego. It was a mild, mostly cloudy night at the airport in Fulton, where the temperature held at 45 to 46 degrees from midnight until about 6 a.m. The sky cleared briefly around 5:30 a.m. At 6:54 a.m. Fulton was 43 and mostly cloudy, with a south wind of 6 mph, and Syracuse was 46 and mostly cloudy.
Alerts: As of 7:52 a.m. Tuesday, the Weather Service listed no watches, warnings or advisories for Oswego County or for any land area in New York. On the water, the Lake Ontario marine feed listed Small Craft Advisories from NWS Buffalo: for the nearshore waters from Sodus Bay to Mexico Bay and from Mexico Bay to the St. Lawrence River, which include the waters off Oswego, until 6 a.m. Wednesday; from Hamlin Beach to Sodus Bay, until 6 a.m. Wednesday; and from the Niagara River to Hamlin Beach, until 1 a.m. Wednesday. For the waters from Sodus Bay to the St. Lawrence River, NWS Buffalo expects west winds of 15 to 25 knots and waves of 6 to 9 feet, and its advisory says "Inexperienced mariners, especially those operating smaller vessels, should avoid navigating in hazardous conditions." The New York feed listed no alerts.
Today: Partly sunny, with a high near 58 and a southwest wind of 8 to 23 mph, according to the Weather Service, which puts the chance of rain at 14%, with less than a tenth of an inch. My own blend of the forecast models has 55. Buffalo's forecasters call today the warmest day of the week, with gusts of 25 to 35 mph across the region from mid morning through mid afternoon, and a few showers across the North Country while it stays dry elsewhere.
Tonight: A 30% chance of rain showers before 10 p.m., then mostly cloudy, with a low around 41 and a northwest wind of 7 to 22 mph.
Veterans Day: Mostly cloudy, with a high near 51 and a light northwest wind of 2 to 6 mph. My blend has 50. Wednesday night brings a chance of showers between 7 p.m. and 1 a.m., then rain, at 80%, with a low around 37 and a tenth to a quarter of an inch.
The week ahead: Rain Thursday, at 80%, with a high near 48 (my blend has 44) and a northeast wind gusting to 23 mph Thursday night. Friday turns to rain and snow showers likely, at 60%, near 45, and Saturday is near 47 with a 50% chance of showers. Buffalo's forecasters expect "minimal winter weather impacts" Thursday through Saturday: ensemble data suggests very minor snow accumulations across higher terrain and no accumulation for lower elevations, including the main population centers. They see dry weather returning early next week.
Tropics: Tropical Storm Pena is in the central Pacific, near 11.7°N 163.9°W, with 35-knot winds and a pressure of 1004 mb, moving west at 14 mph — no threat to our area.
Shepherd S., weather desk, Isophoric News